No Wyckoff pattern detected
Watching for accumulation/distribution signals
| Source | Signal | Confidence | Raw | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| fred_dxy | -21 | 100% | 120.8851 | USD index strengthening (+0.41%) |
| fred_rates | 0 | 100% | 3.62 | Fed funds steady at 3.62% (change: 0.00) |
| fred_vix | +15 | 100% | 15.77 | VIX at 15.8 (prev: 16.1) |
| fred_yields | +4 | 100% | 4.46 | curve=0.41%, 10Y=4.46% |
| grok | -5 | 50% | 50 | Minimal specific discussion on bonds or yields in recent posts. |
No Wyckoff pattern detected
Risk-OFF -- sit out buying, selling premium OK
Not options-eligible
50-delta ATM strike -- run /eds-checklist for contract
60+ DTE -- run /eds-checklist for expiration
Position sizing 1-3% of account
BTO for directional trades (not selling premium)
Set stop/target before entry -- no levels detected
/eds-checklist TLT NIGHTLY BACKTEST REPORT — 2026-04-12 === CURRENT CONFIG (actual D1 state) === SMA: fast=20, slow=50 (NOT 10/30 as task notes said — already updated) min_confidence: 0.45 (lowered from 0.6) take_profit_pct: 0.06 (6%) — STILL UNADDRESSED stop_loss_pct: 0.03 (3%) Wyckoff: ENABLED (1h timeframe) === MARKET CONTEXT === 7-day range: $67,235 - $73,705 Current price: ~$70,777 (pulling back from $73.7K peak) Regime: Ranging with upward bias Wyckoff: Phase B — AR high touched at $73.7K, now ST/pullback. …
Backtest: Apr 12, 2026 · Full analysis: /morning-scan
Conviction scoring active
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No alerts for TLT
Deep dive in Claude Code
/analyze TLT
/eds-checklist TLT