| Source | Signal | Confidence | Raw | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| fred_dxy | +6 | 100% | 118.8783 | USD index weakening (-0.13%) |
| fred_rates | 0 | 100% | 3.64 | Fed funds steady at 3.64% (change: 0.00) |
| fred_vix | +15 | 100% | 15.77 | VIX at 15.8 (prev: 16.1) |
| fred_yields | +4 | 100% | 4.46 | curve=0.41%, 10Y=4.46% |
| gex | +40 | 100% | 18988528.014856055 | Positive GEX (dampened), price above gamma flip at 144.35 |
| grok | -11 | 50% | 35 | Bearish views on shorting MSTR and Saylor's impact on Bitcoin. |
Phase E -- watching
Risk-OFF aligns with short bias
IVR 75.82 -- elevated, IV crush risk
50-delta ATM strike -- run /eds-checklist for contract
60+ DTE -- run /eds-checklist for expiration
Position sizing 1-3% of account
BTO for directional trades (not selling premium)
Set stop/target before entry -- no levels detected
/eds-checklist MSTR
/analyze MSTR NIGHTLY BACKTEST REPORT — 2026-04-12 === CURRENT CONFIG (actual D1 state) === SMA: fast=20, slow=50 (NOT 10/30 as task notes said — already updated) min_confidence: 0.45 (lowered from 0.6) take_profit_pct: 0.06 (6%) — STILL UNADDRESSED stop_loss_pct: 0.03 (3%) Wyckoff: ENABLED (1h timeframe) === MARKET CONTEXT === 7-day range: $67,235 - $73,705 Current price: ~$70,777 (pulling back from $73.7K peak) Regime: Ranging with upward bias Wyckoff: Phase B — AR high touched at $73.7K, now ST/pullback. …
Backtest: Apr 12, 2026 · Full analysis: /morning-scan
Conviction scoring active
Check /morning-scan for latest scores
Deep dive in Claude Code
/analyze MSTR
/eds-checklist MSTR