No Wyckoff pattern detected
Watching for accumulation/distribution signals
| Source | Signal | Confidence | Raw | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cftc_cot | +46 | 72% | 61974 | Managed money net long at 73th pctile of 1Y range (WoW: -2,067) |
| eia_inventory | +76 | 70% | -4677 | Inventory draw: -4.7M bbl (report: 2026-07-10) |
| fred_ovx | -82 | 100% | 55.91 | OVX at 55.9 (prev: 59.0) |
| grok | -9 | 50% | 40 | Crude oil slump noted; futures and regional price issues discussed. |
No Wyckoff pattern detected
Risk-OFF -- sit out buying, selling premium OK
Not options-eligible
50-delta ATM strike -- run /eds-checklist for contract
60+ DTE -- run /eds-checklist for expiration
Position sizing 1-3% of account
BTO for directional trades (not selling premium)
Set stop/target before entry -- no levels detected
/eds-checklist OIL NIGHTLY BACKTEST REPORT — 2026-04-12 === CURRENT CONFIG (actual D1 state) === SMA: fast=20, slow=50 (NOT 10/30 as task notes said — already updated) min_confidence: 0.45 (lowered from 0.6) take_profit_pct: 0.06 (6%) — STILL UNADDRESSED stop_loss_pct: 0.03 (3%) Wyckoff: ENABLED (1h timeframe) === MARKET CONTEXT === 7-day range: $67,235 - $73,705 Current price: ~$70,777 (pulling back from $73.7K peak) Regime: Ranging with upward bias Wyckoff: Phase B — AR high touched at $73.7K, now ST/pullback. …
Backtest: Apr 12, 2026 · Full analysis: /morning-scan
Conviction scoring active
Check /morning-scan for latest scores
Deep dive in Claude Code
/analyze OIL
/eds-checklist OIL