| Source | Signal | Confidence | Raw | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| fred_dxy | -6 | 100% | 121.6023 | USD index strengthening (+0.13%) |
| fred_rates | 0 | 100% | 3.88 | Fed funds steady at 3.88% (change: 0.00) |
| fred_vix | +10 | 100% | 16.46 | VIX at 16.5 (prev: 16.9) |
| fred_yields | +5 | 50% | 5.1 | 10Y=5.10% |
| grok | -9 | 50% | 40 | Ethereum at $1,843 slipping, exchange balances plummeting per CryptoQuant. |
| hl_perp_flow | -81 | 100% | 0.0000125 | Funding 0.0013%/h (99th pctile), OI 24h +3.8% (z=-1.11), price 24h +0.3% |
Phase E -- watching
Regime: ranging -- mixed signals
Check funding rate on exchange
Entry within 1% of signal price?
Time horizon: HTF / MTF / LTF?
Position sizing 1-3% of account
BTO for directional trades (not selling premium)
Set stop/target before entry -- no levels detected
/eds-checklist ETH NIGHTLY BACKTEST REPORT — 2026-04-12 === CURRENT CONFIG (actual D1 state) === SMA: fast=20, slow=50 (NOT 10/30 as task notes said — already updated) min_confidence: 0.45 (lowered from 0.6) take_profit_pct: 0.06 (6%) — STILL UNADDRESSED stop_loss_pct: 0.03 (3%) Wyckoff: ENABLED (1h timeframe) === MARKET CONTEXT === 7-day range: $67,235 - $73,705 Current price: ~$70,777 (pulling back from $73.7K peak) Regime: Ranging with upward bias Wyckoff: Phase B — AR high touched at $73.7K, now ST/pullback. …
Backtest: Apr 12, 2026 · Full analysis: /morning-scan
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